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Tokenomics modelling: your economy simulated in Machinations before the market simulates it for you

We build your token economy as a working model in Machinations and run Monte Carlo simulations across market conditions, so you see price, emissions, staking and TVL behave before a single token is issued.

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Tokenomics modelling: your economy simulated in Machinations before the market simulates it for you

We build your token economy as a working model in Machinations and run Monte Carlo simulations across market conditions, so you see price, emissions, staking and TVL behave before a single token is issued.

Hero Banner Wrapper

Tokenomics modelling: simulated in Machinations before launch

We build your token economy as a working model in Machinations and run Monte Carlo simulations across market conditions, so you see price, emissions, staking and TVL behave before a single token is issued.

What modelling covers

What modelling covers

A spreadsheet assumes everyone behaves. They do not.

A spreadsheet assumes everyone behaves. They do not.

Modelling turns a design on paper into a system you can run. Two streams: a working simulation of the economy, and the stress tests that find where it breaks.

Modelling turns a design on paper into a system you can run. Two streams: a working simulation of the economy, and the stress tests that find where it breaks.

Simulation modelling

Simulation modelling

We rebuild your economy as a working Machinations model: supply, emissions, staking, fees, liquidity and user flows, each connected so a change in one shows its effect on the rest.

Simulation Modelling

We rebuild your economy as a working Machinations model: supply, emissions, staking, fees, liquidity and user flows, each connected so a change in one shows its effect on the rest.

Simulation modelling

We rebuild your economy as a working Machinations model: supply, emissions, staking, fees, liquidity and user flows, each connected so a change in one shows its effect on the rest.

Scenario and stress testing

Scenario and Stress Testing

Scenario and stress testing

Monte Carlo runs across bull, base and bear conditions, plus the specific failures that kill tokens: unlocks into thin liquidity, growth stalling, incentives ending, holders exiting together.

Machinations simulation models, scenario analysis, and stress-testing your distribution under different market and demand conditions before launch.

A six stage process to model and stress-test your token economy.

A six stage process to model and stress-test your token economy.

Stage

Stage

Stage

Stage

Details

Details

Details

Details

01

Model scoping

We agree what the model has to answer: the metrics that matter, the decisions riding on them, and the conditions worth testing.

02

Structure mapping

Every source, drain, pool and converter in your economy is mapped, so the model reflects how value actually moves rather than how the deck describes it.

03

Parameter calibration

Inputs are set from your real data where it exists and from comparable protocols where it does not, with every assumption written down and attributed.

04

Monte Carlo simulation

The economy runs thousands of times across bull, base and bear paths, producing distributions rather than a single optimistic line.

05

Stress and failure testing

We deliberately break it: unlocks into thin liquidity, stalled growth, incentives ending, correlated selling. The breaking points are the output that matters.

06

Model handover

You receive the working Machinations model, the scenario results, and a written interpretation of what each output means for your launch decisions.

Mica and Machinations

From assumptions to evidence,
the model shows the difference.

From assumptions to evidence, the model shows the difference

From assumptions to evidence,
the model shows the difference.

From assumptions to evidence, the model shows the difference

Where modelling gets specific: what we simulate, what the outputs tell you, and the limits of what any model can promise.

Where modelling gets specific: what we simulate, what the outputs tell you, and the limits of what any model can promise.

What the model outputs

What the model outputs

Under MiCA, the EUs Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, your tokens design decides its legal category. 

MiCA sorts tokens into three categories, and the line runs through the economics, not the branding: a utility token gives access to your product; an asset-referenced token holds value against a basket of assets; an e-money token tracks a single currency. 

A law firm can tell you which category a token falls into, but it cannot design an economy that is both compliant and commercially sound. We design the token economy for growth and MiCA alignment, producing the final whitepaper and classification documents ready for your counsel.

Under MiCA, the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, your token's design decides its legal category.

MiCA sorts tokens into three categories, and the line runs through the economics, not the branding: a utility token gives access to your product; an asset-referenced token holds value against a basket of assets; an e-money token tracks a single currency.

A law firm can tell you which category a token falls into; it cannot design an economy that is both compliant and commercially sound. We design the economy and attach its MiCA classification as one decision, and produce the tokenomics sections of the white paper ready for your counsel.

What the model outputs

Under MiCA, the EUs Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, your tokens design decides its legal category. 

MiCA sorts tokens into three categories, and the line runs through the economics, not the branding: a utility token gives access to your product; an asset-referenced token holds value against a basket of assets; an e-money token tracks a single currency. 

A law firm can tell you which category a token falls into, but it cannot design an economy that is both compliant and commercially sound. We design the token economy for growth and MiCA alignment, producing the final whitepaper and classification documents ready for your counsel.

What the model outputs

Under MiCA, the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, your token's design decides its legal category.

MiCA sorts tokens into three categories, and the line runs through the economics, not the branding: a utility token gives access to your product; an asset-referenced token holds value against a basket of assets; an e-money token tracks a single currency.

A law firm can tell you which category a token falls into; it cannot design an economy that is both compliant and commercially sound. We design the economy and its MiCA classification as one decision, and produce the tokenomics sections of the white paper ready for your counsel.

Machinations simulations

Machinations simulations

Machinations simulations

Token economies, credit markets, DeFi pools; any financial system will deviate from the spreadsheets upon hitting the market.

We build your economies, token or other, as a working model in Machinations and run Monte-Carlo simulations to stress-test it under real conditions: emissions meeting unlocks, user growth stalling, loans nearing collateralization ratios, buys or sells with thin liquidity, black swan events. The simulation shows where the design fails so we can fix issues before the launch.

Our simulations dont predict the future, but they help design sustainable systems, and prepare founders for all market conditions.

A token economy that balances on paper can still break in the market, because a spreadsheet assumes every holder behaves as intended.

We build your economy as a working model in Machinations and run it under real conditions: emissions meeting unlocks, user growth stalling, holders selling into thin liquidity. The simulation shows where the design fails before launch does, whether that is sell pressure outrunning demand, an incentive loop draining the treasury, or a vesting cliff flooding the market.

We stress-test the economy, find the breaking points, and redesign around them, so the version that goes live has already survived the conditions that kill most token launches.

A token economy that balances on paper can still break in the market, because a spreadsheet assumes every holder behaves as intended. They do not.

We build your economy as a working model in Machinations and run it under real conditions: emissions meeting unlocks, user growth stalling, holders selling into thin liquidity. The simulation shows where the design fails before launch does, whether that is sell pressure outrunning demand, an incentive loop draining the treasury, or a vesting cliff flooding the market.


We stress-test the economy, find the breaking points, and redesign around them, so the version that goes live has already survived the conditions that kill most token launches

Mica and Machinations

From assumptions to evidence,
the model shows the difference.

Where modelling gets specific: what we simulate, what the outputs tell you, and the limits of what any model can promise.

What the model outputs

Under MiCA, the EUs Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, your tokens design decides its legal category. 

MiCA sorts tokens into three categories, and the line runs through the economics, not the branding: a utility token gives access to your product; an asset-referenced token holds value against a basket of assets; an e-money token tracks a single currency. 

A law firm can tell you which category a token falls into, but it cannot design an economy that is both compliant and commercially sound. We design the token economy for growth and MiCA alignment, producing the final whitepaper and classification documents ready for your counsel.

Machinations simulations

Token economies, credit markets, DeFi pools; any financial system will deviate from the spreadsheets upon hitting the market.

We build your economies, token or other, as a working model in Machinations and run Monte-Carlo simulations to stress-test it under real conditions: emissions meeting unlocks, user growth stalling, loans nearing collateralization ratios, buys or sells with thin liquidity, black swan events. The simulation shows where the design fails so we can fix issues before the launch.

Our simulations dont predict the future, but they help design sustainable systems, and prepare founders for all market conditions.

Our clients are industry leaders of today and tomorrow

Our clients are industry leaders of today and tomorrow

Our clients include industry
leaders like

Tokenomics modelling details

Tokenomics modelling details

How does tokenomics modelling work, and how much does it cost?

From Assumptions to Evidence,
the model shows the difference

We’ve been doing this for years across all narratives, trends, and market conditions. Below are the details of what you can expect working with us.

We’ve been doing this for years across all narratives, trends, and market conditions. Below are the details of what you can expect working with us.

01

What is tokenomics consulting?

02

How much does tokenomics design cost?

03

How much does tokenomics modelling cost?

04

How much does a tokenomics audit cost?

Frequently asked questions

Frequently asked questions

01

How do you determine the ideal token supply and vesting schedule?

Token supply is irrelevant. What matters is the valuation, with regards to vesting, projected financials, and user growth of your business.

02

Does my project need a dual-token or single-token system?

There is no one answer fits all, however, generally speaking dual-token economies make sense when there is need for a soft and hard currency.

03

How do you prevent "Death Spirals" in token economic design?

We prevent death spirals by anchoring the token to tangible utility and dynamically aligning emission rates with actual network growth, ensuring that value creation always outpaces token inflation.

04

Do you offer post-TGE (Token Generation Event) monitoring and advisory?

Yes, we can work with clients after TGE. This typically includes adjusting token emissions, and modelling the economy to explore potential changes for a V2 economy.

05

Do you use Machinations.io or Python for token modeling and stress testing?

We generally use Machinations when modelling and stress testing economies, and would only recommend Python to well financed business’ with extremely complex economy.

13

How much does tokenomics modelling cost?

The deliverables depend on the engagement, but you will always receive a final document with your full token economy and strategy outlined.

06

What deliverables do I receive after using your Tokenomics Consultancy services?

The deliverables depend on the engagement, but you will always receive a final document with your full token economy and strategy outlined.

07

How much does tokenomics consulting cost?

Design starts at $7,500, rising to $15,000 for MiCA-compliant work. Modelling and stress-testing runs $7,500 to $15,000 depending on the complexity of the economy. We also take a small percentage of token supply, set against your valuation, so our payment is tied to the token performing after launch. The full breakdown is in the pricing section above.

12

What scenarios do you stress-test against?

If you plan to offer your token to the public in the EU or list on EU-regulated venues, yes. MiCA ties your token's regulatory classification to its design, so the economy and the white paper have to be built to match the category you fall under: utility token, asset-referenced token, or e-money token. Get the design wrong and the classification, and the offering itself, is at risk.

08

Do I need MiCA-compliant tokenomics?

If you plan to offer your token to the public in the EU or list on EU-regulated venues, yes. MiCA ties your token's regulatory classification to its design, so the economy and the white paper have to be built to match the category you fall under: utility token, asset-referenced token, or e-money token. Get the design wrong and the classification, and the offering itself, is at risk.

11

What does a Machinations model actually show me?

A standard design and modelling engagement runs 3 to 5 weeks. A single-token economy moves faster; a multi-token system with several interacting incentive loops takes longer, because each loop has to be modelled and stress-tested separately.

09

How long does a tokenomics engagement take?

A standard design and modelling engagement runs 3 to 5 weeks. A single-token economy moves faster; a multi-token system with several interacting incentive loops takes longer, because each loop has to be modelled and stress-tested separately.

10

What is the difference between tokenomics design and modelling?

Design defines the economy: supply, distribution, vesting, utility, and value accrual. Modelling tests it; we build the economy in Machinations and stress it under different market and demand conditions to see where it breaks before launch. Design is the blueprint, modelling is the wind tunnel.

1200

Most tokens fail on the design, not the product.
Let's make sure yours holds.

Book a call today and we will tell you exactly what is holding your growth back. 

Bottom Row

Simplicity Group provides strategic consulting and advisory services only. Nothing on this website constitutes financial, investment, or legal advice, nor should it be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any digital asset or security. Digital assets involve significant risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. Simplicity Group is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial institution. Consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Simplicity Group operates through Simplicity Blockchain Consultancy Ltd (United Kingdom) and Simplicity Consultancy FZ-LLC (RAKEZ, United Arab Emirates).


© 2026 Simplicity Group. All rights reserved.

1400

The best time to focus on revenue was on day one.
The second best time is now. 

Book a call today and we will tell you exactly what is holding your growth back. 

Bottom Row

Simplicity Group provides strategic consulting and advisory services only. Nothing on this website constitutes financial, investment, or legal advice, nor should it be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any digital asset or security. Digital assets involve significant risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. Simplicity Group is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial institution. Consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Simplicity Group operates through Simplicity Blockchain Consultancy Ltd (United Kingdom) and Simplicity Consultancy FZ-LLC (RAKEZ, United Arab Emirates).


© 2026 Simplicity Group. All rights reserved.

500

Most tokens fail on the design, not the product.
Let's make sure yours holds.

Book a call today and we will tell you exactly what is holding your growth back. 

Bottom Row

Simplicity Group provides strategic consulting and advisory services only. Nothing on this website constitutes financial, investment, or legal advice, nor should it be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any digital asset or security. Digital assets involve significant risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. Simplicity Group is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial institution. Consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Simplicity Group operates through Simplicity Blockchain Consultancy Ltd (United Kingdom) and Simplicity Consultancy FZ-LLC (RAKEZ, United Arab Emirates).


© 2026 Simplicity Group. All rights reserved.

1400

Most tokens fail on the design, not the product.
Let's make sure yours holds.

Book a call today and we will tell you exactly what is holding your growth back. 

Bottom Row

Simplicity Group provides strategic consulting and advisory services only. Nothing on this website constitutes financial, investment, or legal advice, nor should it be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any digital asset or security. Digital assets involve significant risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. Simplicity Group is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial institution. Consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Simplicity Group operates through Simplicity Blockchain Consultancy Ltd (United Kingdom) and Simplicity Consultancy FZ-LLC (RAKEZ, United Arab Emirates).


© 2026 Simplicity Group. All rights reserved.

800

Most tokens fail on the design, not the product.
Let's make sure yours holds.

Book a call today and we will tell you exactly what is holding your growth back. 

Bottom Row

Simplicity Group provides strategic consulting and advisory services only. Nothing on this website constitutes financial, investment, or legal advice, nor should it be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any digital asset or security. Digital assets involve significant risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past results do not guarantee future outcomes. Simplicity Group is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or financial institution. Consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Simplicity Group operates through Simplicity Blockchain Consultancy Ltd (United Kingdom) and Simplicity Consultancy FZ-LLC (RAKEZ, United Arab Emirates).


© 2026 Simplicity Group. All rights reserved.